Skip to main content

Can a good argument be made with a bad premise?

Can a good argument be made with a bad premise?

Yes. This is done all the time. Not so much in science because all the practitioners know the premises and are not easily deceived. It is a part of their training. You will find the most excellent arguments made upon bad premises* in politics, political speech, and social communication. Sometimes, bad premises are the basis of demagoguery, to incite, to pass legislation, to go to war. Sometimes, we all make great arguments to others, though with an error in the premises.

Now, let’s look for a moment at the many types of bad premises.

1.     Wishful thinking, or you just hope it is so, or you think it should be so. These are deadly to the listener and the speaker. Both parties are deceived.

2.     Expressly for deception. Lawyers make their livings this way with their interpretations of the statues or perhaps what a witness has said.

3.     Vagueness is a leading cause for bad premises, as it can lead the reader or listener to believe their own varied opinions.

4.     The use of incorrect quantifiers. Example: The teen says to mom, “All the other kids have one.” Incorrect qualifiers create another source of bad premises.

5.     Using the correct premise in the wrong way. This one is more subtle, as you have accidentally misinterpreted the premise to mean or imply something else.

6.     Sometimes by negation, by stating this or that cannot be true, as we all know. Therefore, the valid argument follows.

 There are others. Most arguments can be controlled or ended by asking everyone to state their premises. Bad premises are a feature of social life. Critical thinking can help if you are vigilant, and before being swept away by the eloquence of the argument, carefully consider what the speaker assumes. Be suspicious.

 *Premise: a previous statement or proposition from which another is inferred or follows as a conclusion. "if the premise is true, then the conclusion must be true"


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Behavioral Science and Problem-Solving

I.                                       I.                 Introduction.                Concerning our general behavior, it’s high about time we all had some understanding of how we operate on ourselves, and it is just as important how we are operated on by others. This is the wheelhouse of behavioral sciences. It is a vast subject. It touches our lives constantly. It’s influence is pervasive and can be so subtle we never notice it. Behavioral sciences profoundly affect our ability and success at problem-solving, from the elementary level to highly complex wicked problems. This is discussed in Section IV. We begin with the basics of behavioral sciences, Section II, and then through the lens of multiple categories and examples, Section III. II.     ...

Where is AI (Artificial Intelligence) Going?

  How to view Artificial Intelligence (AI).  Imagine you go to the store to buy a TV, but all they have are 1950s models, black and white, circular screens, picture rolls, and picture imperfect, no remote. You’d say no thanks. Back in the day, they sold wildly. The TV was a must-have for everyone with $250 to spend* (about $3000 today). Compared to where AI is today, this is more or less where TVs were 70 years ago. In only a few decades AI will be advanced beyond comprehension, just like TVs today are from the 50s viewpoint. Just like we could not imagine where the video concept was going back then, we cannot really imagine where AI is going. Buckle up. But it will be spectacular.    *Back then minimum wage was $0.75/hr. Thus, a TV cost more than eight weeks' wages. ------------------------- 

Fake News

If you've been following the news the last couple of days, you will note the flurry of copy devoted to fake news.  Both sides are blaming whatever has befallen them the consequence of fake news.  Let's look at this phenomenon a bit.    When I was a student years ago, a friend climbed some mountain in Peru.   A article was written in the local newspaper about the event.   In only three column inches, the newspaper made about six errors.   An easy article to write you say?   Just interview and reproduce.   Yet so many errors?   The question is this: was this fake news or bad reporting?   The idea here is that fake news comes in various flavors. Bad reporting – errors made by the author or editor Opinion presented as news     Deliberate creation of falsehoods to favor a point of view       The reporting of selected truths to favor a particular point of view Now we have the big social media ...