Nowadays we hear a lot about whether the COVID-19 is an actual BLACK SWAN event. This means the Coronavirus is actually and totally unexpected, novel, and unpredictable. ( Taleb, Nassim Nicholas (2010) [2007]. The Black Swan: the impact of the highly improbable (2nd ed.). London: Penguin. ISBN 978-0-14103459-1 . ) In fact, every year we have a devastating virus attack, the flu. It usually claims tens of thousands of lives. This year is no different. Yet, all we are told to get a flu shot. That’s it! This year we have COVID-19, a rather contagious virus not well understood. It seems to claim more lives of the aged than for younger citizens. It’s scary. It became more scary when China basically shut down an entire province of multiple millions. People were dying all over the place. But it is not too scary because we’ve had similar deadly viruses attack us in past years. (SARS, MERS, etc) This makes our current virus as a surprise but not unexpected. Another
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