Can We Ever Solve Every Problem?
G Donald Allen
Introduction. The fundamental problem of this
section is to consider reasons why we have not yet reached the point in human
evolution where we can solve all of our problems. This seems to have a popular
origin in the Sherlock Holmes film, “Dressed to Kill[1],”
where Dr. Watson, expresses the notion, “There is not a problem the mind can
set that the mind cannot solve.” In the next section, we show quite the opposite.
Some of the greatest of unsolvable problems are related to brain capacity,
evolution, conceptuality, prediction, scale, vagueness, complexity, and more.
These present roadblocks to problem-solving, and form the background for many
almost unsolvable problems. There are
multiple reasons, by no means the smallest class of them being the so-called
impossible problems to be considered in another chapter. As well, we need to
discuss further methodologies for solutions to come in the next chapter. Here
are a few examples, presented as yet another list.
The Problems with Problems.
Among the many problems having limited are no solutions are death and taxes.
Include also family problems, child problems, work problems, mental problems,
financial problems, illness, and personal problems. These are mostly forever
problems. No matter how much wealth or poverty, how social or personal the
community, these strike everyone. Some escape with a light dose, but nobody is
immune. In this chapter we look Here we
look at a few examples of insoluble problems not only of our time but of all
time. For brevity, they are presented as yet another list, a short list,
though, of only 15 types. Exclusions are the so-called trolley problems and
variants, noted for posing moral conflicts, and the newest problem of all, AI.
Later.
1.
Many problems have multiple solutions, depending on the mental
tools you use, such as belief, deduction, faith, abduction, intuition,
emotions, and several more. Between people, tribes, cities, and nations, these
tools have differentiated possible problem solutions more than any other. We
frequently see alternative solutions offered by secular and nonsecular
stakeholders. Other times business and labor interests suggest the opposite
view, or sometimes, with zoning vs free-zoning constituents. Such problems do
get solved, usually with a contrary resolution.
Between nations, we always see a bifurcation between those wanting war
and those preferring peace.
2.
More generally, these
problems and proposed solutions have conflicting, or at least competing values,
for example, profit vs working conditions, personal vs societal, small vs big business,
child vs parent, plaintive vs defendant, and so on. Again, solutions can be
imposed but not to the satisfaction of all. Most probably, this is why we
humans often have leaders or otherwise designated authorities. The best way to determine authority is
certainly a long-unsolved problem, nor may it ever be. Thus, we have unsolvable
problems with no fully acceptable solution on how to solve them. On the other
hand, the law is the most perfect of imperfect human conflicting value systems
ever devised. With a hierarchy of courts, a standard for evidence, a procedure
for presentations, a jury of peers, and finally with an ultimate supreme
authority[2],
all cases are decided – though never to the satisfaction of all players.
3.
Many problems have
no clear solutions, such as “Does God exist?” Or, “What is infinity?” One is
existential and the other is conceptual. As well, these problems and consequent
solutions depend on the mental tools used. These are impossible problems, of
course, and further discussion of them will come later.
4.
Many problems have
vague predicates, making them insoluble. For example, “All swans are
beautiful.” Alternatively, consider the Heap Paradox[3],
wherein we ask when adding grains of sand to a pile, it transitions to a heap.
(Scale and vagueness.) At first blush, you may say, we could suggest purging
vagueness from the language. This has
proved to be extremely difficult[4],[5],
leading to a stilted language.
5.
Many problems seem
to transcend our mental capacity. For example, “What is the nature of time?[6]”
(Conceptual.) Or, when will humans be able to see in the ultraviolet (UV)
spectrum? (Evolutionary.) The human brain’s capacity is usually underplayed in
the literature for many reasons, among them being we can’t conceive of a vastly
intelligent brain, nor can we conceive of what problems an advanced brain would
find solvable. Nor can we predict in what way(s) the human may evolve.
6.
Almost all
prediction problems, depending on the precision required, are impossible or
unsolvable owing to systemic chaotic[7],[8]
behavior, instability, or insufficient knowledge of initial conditions. For
example, what is the temperature in New York City at noon one hundred years
from now, much less three years from now? Similarly, we cannot know the past in
such detail as in the question, “What did Julius Caesar have for breakfast on
the Ides of March?” Many answers to questions of evolution are based on abduction,
best guesses, with supporting evidence only.
7.
Many problems have
billions or trillions of variables, making them impossible to model. We include
here all problems of complexity. Computers and artificial intelligence (AI) may
solve these problems far sooner. This leads to the number of factors anyone or
a group can grapple with. Most of us can handle at best less than a dozen
distinct major factors in our reckoning about a problem. More than that confuse
problem understanding, and therefore results in confused solutions.
8.
Many problems
are wicked[9],
meaning they have no complete clarity as to what to solve for, hundreds of
factors, where to begin, and how to proceed. In addition, such problems don’t
have solutions per se, rather offering good or bad, or fast or slow, for
example. All these problems are complex, so complex they could be termed hyper-complex.
9.
Many problems have
undecidable solutions. That is, there are true propositions that can never be
proved. See, Gödel's undecidability theorem established less than a century ago.
Before that, it was hoped that all problems, math problems at least, had a
solution. Wicked problems are in a human sense undecidable, given that no
clean, unique solution is ever given. The Brooklyn Bridge[10]
is a classic example. It was so overdesigned that factors such as shoddy
materials, graft, foundational issues, and others still gave us a bridge with
lasting durability.
10.
People everywhere
asked long ago about when will there be a cure for rabies. Now we know. The
solution to this problem was found only by developing new knowledge, in this
case, based on a new germ theory of disease. But it does highlight the
importance of an undiscovered country of new knowledge. In fact, science has
developed in this way for all of time, with new knowledge saving the day and
solving an unsolvable problem. We expect new knowledge will always be an
important facet in extracting solutions from the bag of problems facing
humanity. So to suggest we could solve all problems would imply we have all
knowledge. This leads to more problems, as revealed in #12 just below.
11.
If you say some of
these are uninteresting, then you can ask for the most uninteresting problem.
Once named, it becomes interesting because of this. Thus, the problem “What
problem is most uninteresting?” has no solution. This problem was adapted from
mathematics to help make it appear less technical. Yet it applies in real life.
For example, you could ask for the least important economic factor in the economy.
Once given, it would be studied intensely to the point where it becomes
interesting and why. Economists wrestle with the importance of economic factors
daily. In general, asking about absolutes among vague or ambiguous variables is
bound to result in conflicts. Currently, about fifty distinct theories of
economics are viable.
12.
Similarly, you could
ask the problem of listing all problems. But once achieved, you can generate a
new problem by asking what any subcollection of problems have in common. Thus,
you create a new problem, unless you assume this is in the full list. This
means the set of all problems contains itself, and this creates (devilish)
logical impossibilities. Check out the “Barber’s Paradox[11].”
They are so devilish that even the mathematicians have literally outlawed them
– except in a special “twilight zone” of philosopher-logicians. Few visit
there.
13.
Similarly, you could
ask to order all problems by difficulty. This implies you have a method to
determine difficulty, a vague concept at best. Thus, the criteria for
the word are variable and unusable. Technically, this is related to the notion
of order, notoriously tricky even in mathematics.
14.
Many problems are
created by language. But removing this difficulty invokes the difficulty of determining
a new language, and this is fraught with unsolved logical difficulties. See the
work of Alfred Tarski[12].
15. Finally, we must face the truth[13].
Specifically, we need to define just what the truth is. After all, in most
parlance, a solution is supposed to be the truth. Alas, we don’t know, at least
to a consensus, what truth is though philosophers, clerics, scientists,
psychologists, logicians, and just about everyone else have worked on this
problem for millennia. For instance, anyone could walk into the backrooms of
the monastery or physics lab, and hear completely different discussions on the
origin of the universe.
Conclusions.
The problems of problems, while not new, consumes
many of us, now in an age with seemingly an infinity of problems, and big ones
at that. Political wars, Climate wars, Trade wars, and even Kinetic wars rage
around the globe. As well, living almost everywhere is more and more complex,
while education is more and more failing. Institutions, so long the bastions of
stability, are falling into ruin. Infrastructure is decaying before our eyes.
The future of inexpensive energy is in doubt.
It is no wonder we discuss the solutions to problems in generality as we
find them around every corner of our lives. The positive answer that yes we can solve
all problems eventually cannot be
confirmed. Indeed, many of the problems we face today are
ever more complex, wicked, and just plain unsolvable.
[1]
Dressed to Kill, 1946, starring Basil Rathbone.
[2]
Many institutions have tried
to mimic the legal process with massive Policy and Procedure Manuals, wherein
as many cases as are known contain appropriate remedies and resolutions. These,
something like print versions of chatGPT,
are a poor substitutes for judgement and wisdom, i.e. poor solutions.
[3]
Barker, C. (2009).
"Vagueness". In Allan, Keith (ed.). Concise Encyclopedia of Semantics.
Elsevier. p. 1037.
[4] Mahtani, Anna. Vagueness, 2018,
doi:10.4324/9780415249126-X040-2. Routledge Encyclopedia of Philosophy, Taylor
and Francis, https://www.rep.routledge.com/articles/thematic/vagueness/v-2.
[5] Williamson, Timothy (1994). Vagueness. London and New York: Routledge.
[6]
Rovelli, Carlo, (2018). The
Order of Time, Nature 556, 304-305. Rovelli puts forward the idea of ‘physics
without time,’ that time is subjective, that forward in time is a consequence
of increasting entropy.
[7]
Gulick, Denny, Encounters
with Chaos, McGraw-Hill, 1992.
[8] Gleick, James, Chaos : Making a
New Science, Viking, 1987.
[9]
Churchman, C. West (1967).
"Wicked Problems". Management Science. 14 (4): B-141–B-146.
[10]
McCullough, David (1983).
"THE GREAT BRIDGE AND THE AMERICAN IMAGINATION". The New York Times.
Retrieved 29 August 2018.
[11]
The Philosophy of Logical
Atomism, reprinted in The Collected Papers of Bertrand Russell, 1914-19, Vol
8., p. 228
[12]
Alfred Tarski, 1935.
"The Concept of Truth in Formalized Languages". Logic, Semantics,
Metamathematics, Indianapolis: Hackett 1983, 2nd edition, 152–278.
[13] Alexis G. Burgess and John P.
Burgess (2014), Truth, Princeton.
Comments
Post a Comment
Please Comment.