Skip to main content

What is Chexit?



Chexit is the business exit from China.  There was no vote in China or elsewhere to sanction this.  Chexit is a “vote with your feet” exercise.  China’s world-wide reputation has become so sour that many businesses will leave China if they can. Moreover, few new businesses will come. 

As well, Chexit is a matter of fashion.  Like popular night-spots that rise to great popularity and then simply fade, China’s popularity for foreign business interests has peaked and now is fading. (Remember Studio 54?)  As with night-spots, the foreign business attenuation in China will continue.  It is not clear to this author China can really do anything about it.  Apparently doing business in other countries on the Pacific Rim is simply easier, more business friendly, and with full corporate ownership. 

Chexit is real and is accelerating.  It may well be most business and manufacturing in China will ultimately be owned completely by Chinese.  In fact, it is the historical nature of the Chinese to have their country free of all foreign presence. 

Also, we may see the Hong Kong business and banking hegemony diminishing as a part of the process. 

Even if China caves completely in a trade deal with the US, it may be too late, particularly for Xi Jinping.  Popularity fading is difficult to reverse. The number of movie stars, restaurants, resorts, and department stores have experienced the “big fade” is immense.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Behavioral Science and Problem-Solving

I.                                       I.                 Introduction.                Concerning our general behavior, it’s high about time we all had some understanding of how we operate on ourselves, and it is just as important how we are operated on by others. This is the wheelhouse of behavioral sciences. It is a vast subject. It touches our lives constantly. It’s influence is pervasive and can be so subtle we never notice it. Behavioral sciences profoundly affect our ability and success at problem-solving, from the elementary level to highly complex wicked problems. This is discussed in Section IV. We begin with the basics of behavioral sciences, Section II, and then through the lens of multiple categories and examples, Section III. II.     ...

Principles of Insufficiency and Sufficiency

   The principles we use but don't know it.  1.      Introduction . Every field, scientific or otherwise, rests on foundational principles—think buoyancy, behavior, or democracy. Here, we explore a unique subset: principles modified by "insufficiency" and "sufficiency." While you may never have heard of them, you use them often. These terms frame principles that blend theory, practicality, and aspiration, by offering distinct perspectives. Insufficiency often implies inaction unless justified, while sufficiency suggests something exists or must be done. We’ll examine key examples and introduce a new principle with potential significance. As a principle of principles of these is that something or some action is not done enough while others may be done too much. The first six (§2-6) of our principles are in the literature, and you can easily search them online. The others are relatively new, but fit the concepts in the real world. At times, these pri...

The Lemming Instinct

  In certain vital domains, a pervasive mediocrity among practitioners can stifle genuine advancement. When the intellectual output of a field is predominantly average, it inevitably produces research of corresponding quality. Nevertheless, some of these ideas, by sheer chance or perhaps through effective dissemination, will inevitably gain traction. A significant number of scholars and researchers will gravitate towards these trends, contributing to and propagating further work along these established lines. Such a trajectory allows an initially flawed concept to ascend to the status of mainstream orthodoxy. However, over an extended period, these prevailing ideas invariably fail to withstand rigorous scrutiny; they are ultimately and conclusively disproven. The disheartening pattern then reveals itself: rather than genuine progress, an equally unvalidated or incorrect idea often supplants the discredited one, swiftly establishing its own dominance. This cycle perpetuates, ensurin...