Chexit is the business
exit from China. There was no vote in
China or elsewhere to sanction this.
Chexit is a “vote with your feet” exercise. China’s world-wide reputation has become so
sour that many businesses will leave China if they can. Moreover, few new
businesses will come.
As well, Chexit is a
matter of fashion. Like popular
night-spots that rise to great popularity and then simply fade, China’s
popularity for foreign business interests has peaked and now is fading.
(Remember Studio 54?) As with night-spots,
the foreign business attenuation in China will continue. It is not clear to this author China can
really do anything about it. Apparently
doing business in other countries on the Pacific Rim is simply easier, more
business friendly, and with full corporate ownership.
Chexit is real and is
accelerating. It may well be most business
and manufacturing in China will ultimately be owned completely by Chinese. In fact, it is the historical nature of the
Chinese to have their country free of all foreign presence.
Also, we may see the
Hong Kong business and banking hegemony diminishing as a part of the
process.
Even if China caves
completely in a trade deal with the US, it may be too late, particularly for Xi
Jinping. Popularity fading is difficult
to reverse. The number of movie stars, restaurants, resorts, and department stores
have experienced the “big fade” is immense.
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