Skip to main content

Terrorist Conspiracy Theory

This is a conspiracy theory about large-scale terrorist attacks.  Beware of such theories as they are mostly plausibility arguments gleaned from a sequence of events.  So, be suspicious and critical.  We do our theory by the numbers.

1.  First of all, it seems the big terrorist organizations such as ISIS can strike at will really wherever and whenever they so choose.  They have “soldiers” willing to give their lives in the cause of terror.  These are not occasional, random attacks, but well planned logistically and technically.  They could strike somewhere in the world frequently, perhaps even weekly, but do not.  Why?

2. These organizations also have a strong survival instinct.  They know that weekly attacks will result in the overwhelming response even from the most globalist of countries to strike back, annihilating their bases, their funding, and their very organizations.   

3. So, they face an optimization problem, which is to survive while creating a recurrent sense of fear.   Probably no one anywhere goes to a major event these days without thinking of the possibility of a bombing. Almost all discount it because such are relatively rare.  This means some timing between major terrorist events is necessary.  Already, London is habituated to such by the current Mayor’s comments that such events are now a part of our lives.  Live with them is the admonition. What was once unthinkable has become expected. You know, the new normal.

Now, for the conspiracy part of this discussion.  Big events such as in Nice, Brussels, Manchester, London, Berlin, San Bernardino and others must be timed and coordinated so as not to exceed a frequency that will demand a serious response. This is it.  The implication is terrorist’s attacks are centrally organized and executed. The plan is to create sustained and growing fear and continue to do so safely from their homes, claiming responsibility especially when the perpetrators are killed. One desired result is to encourage the emergence of leaders who sympathize with terrorist demands. 

Calculate a four to twelve month differential between attacks.   The next big one will likely come this fall, but who knows where?
Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Please Comment.

Popular posts from this blog

UNCERTAINTY IS CERTAIN

  Uncertainty is Certain G. Donald Allen 12/12/2024 1.       Introduction . This short essay is about uncertainty in people from both secular and nonsecular viewpoints. One point that will emerge is that randomly based uncertainty can be a driver for religious structure. Many groups facing uncertainty about their future are deeply religious or rely on faith as a source of comfort, resilience, and guidance. The intersection of uncertainty and religiosity often stems from the human need to find meaning, hope, and stability in the face of unpredictable or challenging circumstances. We first take up the connections of uncertainty to religion for the first real profession, farming, noting that hunting has many similar uncertainties. Below are groups that commonly lean on religious beliefs amidst uncertainty.   This short essay is a follow-up to a previous piece on certainty (https://used-ideas.blogspot.com/2024/12/certainty-is-also-emotion.html). U...
Post a Comment
Read more

CERTAINTY IS ALSO AN EMOTION

  Certainty is also a Feeling Certainty is often viewed as a mental state tied to knowledge and confidence, but it also functions as a feeling with distinct emotional and physiological components. While it arises from cognitive processes, certainty also has a subjective and emotional quality that makes it more than just a rational judgment. It provides a sense of assurance and security that shapes human experience in profound ways. Emotional Dimension . At its core, certainty evokes emotions that influence how we perceive and interact with the world. When someone feels certain, they often experience relief, comfort, or empowerment. These emotions are particularly strong when uncertainty or doubt is resolved, offering a sense of closure. For example, solving a complex problem or having a belief validated by evidence brings not just intellectual satisfaction but also emotional reassurance. Subjectivity. Certainty is inherently personal and subjective. It depends on individual...
Post a Comment
Read more

Lies, Deceit, and the National Agenda

The world you grew up in is no more.  The world of reasonable honesty and reasonable lies has been replaced by abject dishonesty and blatant lies. Lies.  Yes. People have always told them.  You have told them; so have I.   We need lies; they are a foundational structure of social living.  They both deceive and protect.  Children tell them to their parents to avoid consequences, like punishment.  Adults tell them to their bosses, to enhance their position and/or avoid consequences of poor performance.  Our bosses tell them to their boards to suggest business is good, the project is on target, or the detractors are wrong.  The boards tell them to shareholders to protect their own credibility and most importantly, stock values.   Our politicians tell lies to their constituents, though sometimes innocently with them not actually knowing much more than they've been told.  They enhance their positio...
2 comments
Read more