Skip to main content

Do you believe the news?




Choice and Bernie.  For those of you disappointed with the presidential election, there is hope in the form of a Facebook page, occupydemocrats.  To me it is new.  Check out https://www.facebook.com/OccupyDemocrats/  This is a site for disgruntled, depressed, and disappointed people to vent about the election, basically to continue the debate, to encourage news reports disfavoring Trump, and to support Obama to seize power and allow another election – this time a fair election. It supports my view that bitterness of the losing party has intensified over the past couple of decades.  I am certain there are conservative sites, as well, allowing the other camp to vent their opinions on whatever, even the recent election outcomes. However, I don't know of any and won't look.

Bernie Goldberg, a former CBS reporter, understands why.  To paraphrase, “People gravitate to sources of information that validate their own viewpoints, favoring what they say and rejecting alternatives.“ 


We could generalize by saying the more extreme your preferred news source, the more needy you are for validation.  Or applying lessons from Psychology 101, the less certain you are in your own convictions.  

That aside, personal convictions seem locked in; conversions are rare. A characteristic of religions, this is definitely not a good thing in the secular realm.  With news outlets supporting opinion over actual news, there seems no source (I know of) where one can trust anything reported beyond video footage.

Yet, total bias in reporting ebbs and flows over time.  This puts me in an interesting position. 
I grew into adulthood with reasonably honest news, and having become skeptical and loathe the fake and false stuff, when I can can separate it from actual news.  But now we see a new generation having grown up with the fake and the false.  Their expectations are different, but how?  Toward the more fake and false comforting, or toward disgust, or simply turn off? You can get a glimmer of public attitudes toward news at http://www.stateofthemedia.org/2004/newspapers-intro/public-attitudes/  There it’s revealed in a 2002 survey that
  • People tend to trust newspapers less than other mediums.
  • That trust is declining, as it is for other kinds of news mediums.
  • People think newspaper journalists are out of touch and motivated by commercial imperatives.
  • But people still turn to newspapers, particularly during certain kinds of news events and particularly for local news and for an opinion forum.
Naturally, you and I are put into a quandary.  Can you believe the news about the news? Remember, every survey selects a sample, and here is where the sampling error, such as with recent election polls, has failed.   In fact, a new form of sampling error emerged, and that is from those declining to be surveyed, possibly having a much different opinion than the survey-takers. 

See more fake-news opinion (different from fake news-opinion) at my post: http://used-ideas.blogspot.com/2016/12/fake-news.html
See also, https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/polling-experts-g-donald-allen?trk=pulse_spock-articles which is on polling.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

UNCERTAINTY IS CERTAIN

  Uncertainty is Certain G. Donald Allen 12/12/2024 1.       Introduction . This short essay is about uncertainty in people from both secular and nonsecular viewpoints. One point that will emerge is that randomly based uncertainty can be a driver for religious structure. Many groups facing uncertainty about their future are deeply religious or rely on faith as a source of comfort, resilience, and guidance. The intersection of uncertainty and religiosity often stems from the human need to find meaning, hope, and stability in the face of unpredictable or challenging circumstances. We first take up the connections of uncertainty to religion for the first real profession, farming, noting that hunting has many similar uncertainties. Below are groups that commonly lean on religious beliefs amidst uncertainty.   This short essay is a follow-up to a previous piece on certainty (https://used-ideas.blogspot.com/2024/12/certainty-is-also-emotion.html). U...

Problem Solving? Then Find Those Gaps

  Problem Solving - Finding Gaps 12/28/2024 Introduction. Solving complex problems often arises from the presence of gaps in knowledge, resources, understanding, or perspectives. These gaps introduce uncertainty, ambiguity, or constraints, making solutions difficult to achieve. Below, we explore the primary types of gaps that complicate problem-solving and their implications. Many are of the technical, informational, theoretical, and social nature. You may discover some of these gaps are also sources of uncertainty in problem-solving, in that they supply us with another list of things that can go wrong based on something missing. Gaps also form a type of impossible problem, that will be discussed in a later chapter. Finally, this essay is about all problems and solutions, not just those of science. Contents Comprehension Gaps Consistency Gaps Solution-Type Gaps Invisible Gaps   Knowledge and Evidence Gaps   Methodological and Technological Gaps Ethical and Cult...

CERTAINTY IS ALSO AN EMOTION

  Certainty is also a Feeling Certainty is often viewed as a mental state tied to knowledge and confidence, but it also functions as a feeling with distinct emotional and physiological components. While it arises from cognitive processes, certainty also has a subjective and emotional quality that makes it more than just a rational judgment. It provides a sense of assurance and security that shapes human experience in profound ways. Emotional Dimension . At its core, certainty evokes emotions that influence how we perceive and interact with the world. When someone feels certain, they often experience relief, comfort, or empowerment. These emotions are particularly strong when uncertainty or doubt is resolved, offering a sense of closure. For example, solving a complex problem or having a belief validated by evidence brings not just intellectual satisfaction but also emotional reassurance. Subjectivity. Certainty is inherently personal and subjective. It depends on individual...