Skip to main content

Jobs - Who needs one?



Jobs anyone? No Thanks. "I don't want one," is the response from 34.3% of people. This is the latest statistic from the Wall Street Journal, where it is noted this is up from 30% just two decades ago. In a recent paper, Declining Labor Force Attachment and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation, by economists Regis Barnichon and Andrew Figura divided those out of the labor force using a simpler standard: whether or not the person says they want a job. the paper is rather technical but understandable. It does lead us to a couple of questions. (1) How much unemployment by those not wishing employment can a prosperous nation absorb - and remain prosperous? (2) What is the critical mass whereby this "don't want a job" attitude toward work becomes an epidemic in society? The answers to both are unexplored.

There is another population out there not yet analyzed. This group, those people employed by in totally nonproductive venues. Many government workers can so be classified. So also are many in law and order. This is not to say they have no value; they absolutely do. They are usually high in relative intelligence. They protect us from another class in society – lawbreakers. But they don't actually produce goods or other measures of prosperity. One could posit that the Soviet Union collapsed partly under the weight of its unproductive human infrastructure - though  it took three generations.

This new normal reflects the attitude of an endless summer for too many. It indicates that big success will not happen and that the proverbial “nose to the grindstone” of life is not in their thinking. It suggests a lower standard of living where there is a life that is viable. It diminishes, what for many of us, have long regarded as the natural progression from childhood to adulthood. It indicates a diminution of expectations in favor of an idyllic world of fantasy. It suggests a dangerous trend. This viewpoint and lifestyle assume that the country is so strong and so powerful it can and will sustain regardless. It suggests a good job should be delivered without personal effort. It implies a psychological and philosophical emptiness of massive proportions.

This can be concatenated with another particularly troubling attitude that comes from those youngsters wishing to start at the top.  A freshly graduated business major graduated wants a job as CFO, having not the slightest experience.  It reveals certainly the belief that little real skill is actually needed.  This is naivety, or possibly stupidity.  The other is that such folks cannot imagine themselves at the entry level.  Too low a station for them! This is distressing.

A personal story: This is one of a young man (not so young anymore being 40+) who has a great background.  Private schools, private university, masters degree, wealthy parents. Good looks, intelligent, socially adept. Does no sports, has no hobbies, has few friends.  No CFO job, no big finance job, no executive position.  He now folds napkins for an events firm and does light deliveries. Not a happy story.

In the old days, all religions extolled all to strive to contribute, to pray, and to believe, if only in a small way. Pride could be taken in achievement. In the new days, with religion deprecated, there are few guideposts, and few societal demands exacted upon anyone. Rather we have the new normal that if YOU want to earn more, then seek it, work hard for it, achieve it. But if you don't there is no penalty of any kind. Do nothing - that's OK. Do something - that's OK too.

How many non-contributors to the national welfare can a society sustain and still thrive?  Unknown.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Behavioral Science and Problem-Solving

I.                                       I.                 Introduction.                Concerning our general behavior, it’s high about time we all had some understanding of how we operate on ourselves, and it is just as important how we are operated on by others. This is the wheelhouse of behavioral sciences. It is a vast subject. It touches our lives constantly. It’s influence is pervasive and can be so subtle we never notice it. Behavioral sciences profoundly affect our ability and success at problem-solving, from the elementary level to highly complex wicked problems. This is discussed in Section IV. We begin with the basics of behavioral sciences, Section II, and then through the lens of multiple categories and examples, Section III. II.     ...

Where is AI (Artificial Intelligence) Going?

  How to view Artificial Intelligence (AI).  Imagine you go to the store to buy a TV, but all they have are 1950s models, black and white, circular screens, picture rolls, and picture imperfect, no remote. You’d say no thanks. Back in the day, they sold wildly. The TV was a must-have for everyone with $250 to spend* (about $3000 today). Compared to where AI is today, this is more or less where TVs were 70 years ago. In only a few decades AI will be advanced beyond comprehension, just like TVs today are from the 50s viewpoint. Just like we could not imagine where the video concept was going back then, we cannot really imagine where AI is going. Buckle up. But it will be spectacular.    *Back then minimum wage was $0.75/hr. Thus, a TV cost more than eight weeks' wages. ------------------------- 

Fake News

If you've been following the news the last couple of days, you will note the flurry of copy devoted to fake news.  Both sides are blaming whatever has befallen them the consequence of fake news.  Let's look at this phenomenon a bit.    When I was a student years ago, a friend climbed some mountain in Peru.   A article was written in the local newspaper about the event.   In only three column inches, the newspaper made about six errors.   An easy article to write you say?   Just interview and reproduce.   Yet so many errors?   The question is this: was this fake news or bad reporting?   The idea here is that fake news comes in various flavors. Bad reporting – errors made by the author or editor Opinion presented as news     Deliberate creation of falsehoods to favor a point of view       The reporting of selected truths to favor a particular point of view Now we have the big social media ...