What was and still is
Dateline, 1850 and Now... We have arrived at the point where
professionals have a large amount of knowledge about particularly narrowing
topics. The narrowing has constricted now for a couple of centuries. As in the past, investigators become
saturated. For ancient geometers, this occurred a couple of centuries BCE. They can know little more, and little more was contributed. Until...
a new idea emerges, it becomes the hammer to resolve all questions.
Older outmoded techniques are diminished, deprecated, and eventually forgotten.
This is the model of scientific investigations and other objective disciplines.
When the new is judged as more powerful and more predictive, the old is discarded.
All this is according to Thomas Kuhn. Advance of knowledge is not linear, it is not
even monotone.
What are new ideas and from where do they come? A
number of forms seem obvious.
- Technique
- Innovation
- Enhanced precision
- Increased dimension
- Discretization
- Scale transformation
There evolves the understanding of an innate and bounded
capacity for active options. For
example, given that a person can resolve a question using a dozen novel (and
personal) options. Each problem is then
resolved within novel information and a base knowledge. A problem that cannot
be resolved within the dozen is
nonetheless solved within the dozen.
This creates impossible situations.
How can knowledge advance and techniques for advancing
knowledge evolve? The first answer is fresh
blood. Required is the activation and
involvement of new people brought into the assembly. Centuries of new graduate students have
furnished this critical resource. Without
graduate students or other fresh blood, knowledge would simply not
advance. It would remain in a stasis,
with unsolved problems elevated to a canonical level of non-understanding and
imperfect, incorrect solutions. The
spiral loop will sustain forever. We may
call this is the fossilization of knowledge. Graduate students or interns, furnish the
fresh and new ideas that range beyond the dozen, that disregard the dozen
learned in their normal educational process. In other worlds, business for
example, this could account for the new group mentality of problem solving
together, brainstorming. We can't hire new people, but the same people with
possibly differing solution methods may produce something new. This is called innovation, a topic worshipped
in the business world.
New options must then be codified and absorbed into standard
procedure. But there is a natural limit.
Mostly we examine only within our personal context. Our personal limits,
regardless of how vast, are simply finite and finite of low dimensionality.
Using the language of logistics, we call this one's carrying capacity. Most investigators have the same dozen, and
the better ones use them to more successful ends. The natural limit is what makes some problems
intractable - not impossible but beyond personal and even group capacity. The body of solvers use only their knowledge
and methods, which for serious problems simply do not suffice. It could be one reason to explain the vast migration of talent from
company to company, campus to campus.
All this said, it will happen that the grad student fix will
fail. And all the other types will
fail. A total saturation will envelop
all thinking.
Enter the computer
Always preferring to begin exactly there, we mention just a
few aspects of knowledge that we could never know without these electronic
beasts. Consider just three – without much
detail. You may add your own
examples. Many involve massive data;
many involve simulation, visualization, data compression, and pattern
recognition.
·
DNA – we could never know about specific DNA
characteristics without sequencing algorithms
·
CHAOS, FRACTALS – we could never have detailed
knowledge of chaos, synchronization of multiple oscillators, and fractals
without computers
·
BIG DATA – we could never achieve the benefits afforded
to us from the analysis of massive data resources.
From just a few examples, the answer is clear. Computers are a key part of the contemporary investigative
infrastructure. Yet, they are
constrained to specific tasks. They are
not free to explore. So we ask…
How can computers help this increasingly dysfunctional process? First of all, computers have vast resources
of information about any subject, and unlimited computing cycles. Second, they are tireless but stupid. They need help. Techniques of coding may not yet be there beyond
mere word searches and the like. But
this will come. Problems need to be
coded and the solutions, as well.
Moreover, the accepted specific logic needs for the specific subject. In some cases, for example, a multi-valued
logic is quite appropriate.
The day will come when some new idea can be codified and
then integrated into the codex of all relevant ideas to resolve questions of
consistency and compatibility, to propose problem availability, and ultimately
problem solvability. One question is
where we mortals will figure into this mix?
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